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Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections. [1] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. [2] However, it missed some close elections: 1948, 1976 and 2004, the popular vote in ...
Opinion poll. An opinion poll, often simply referred to as a survey or a poll (although strictly a poll is an actual election), is a human research survey of public opinion from a particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions of a population by conducting a series of questions and then extrapolating ...
Online. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [ 2 ] Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver Bulletin. [ 3 ][ 4 ][ 5 ] 538's new owner Disney hired ...
2028 →. v. t. e. This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
A primary election is an election in which registered voters in a jurisdiction (nominating primary) select a political party's candidate for a later election. There are various types of primary: either the whole electorate is eligible, and voters choose one party's primary at the polling booth (an open primary); or only independent voters can ...
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2020 United States presidential election.If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters (LV) is prioritized, then registered voters (RV), then adults (A).
Political poll averaging. RealClearPolitics aggregates polls for presidential and congressional races into averages, known as the RealClearPolitics average, which are widely cited by media outlets. Both major presidential campaigns in 2004 said that the RCP polling average was the best metric of the race. [44]
In the United States, the Electoral College is the group of presidential electors that is formed every four years during the presidential election for the sole purpose of voting for the president and vice president. The process is described in Article II of the U.S. Constitution. [ 1 ]