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In National Weather Service (NWS) terminology, a Hazardous Weather Outlook is a weather statement issued to provide information of potential severe weather events within the next seven days. The outlook may include information about potential severe thunderstorms, heavy rain or flooding, winter weather, extremes temperatures. [1]
Areas are delineated in this forecast that have least a 15% or 30% chance of severe weather in the Day 4–8 period (equivalent to a slight risk and an enhanced risk, respectively); as forecaster confidence is not fully resolute on how severe weather will evolve more than three days out, the Day 4–8 outlook only outlines the areas in which ...
They are generally only issued on the day of the event. However, there have been two occurrences (April 7, 2006, and April 14, 2012) of a high risk being issued for Day 2 of the outlook period (with the event occurring the following day). Under the official protocol, a high risk cannot be issued for Day 3 of the outlook period. [2]
Flooding downpours will be a concern both within the severe weather risk areas as well as for locations farther north that were doused with 1-2 inches of rain last week.
TONIGHT: Partly Cloudy. Low 66. Wind S 10 G 20.MONDAY: Partly Cloudy. High 82. Wind S 10-15.MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly Cloudy. Low 67. Wind S 10-15 G 25.TUESDAY: 40% Chance of Showers & Thunderstorms.
Weather Prediction Center forecast map for Thursday, Oct. 31, 2024, shows much of the eastern U.S. experiencing unseasonably warm weather while cool weather envelopes the west.
A tornado touches down in Tulsa, Okla., on Wednesday, March 30, 2016. (AP Photo/Larry Papke) Meteorological spring brings the peak of severe thunderstorm activity across the United States, and ...
In contrast with high risk outlooks for severe weather outbreaks, extremely critical outlooks are commonly issued for Day 2. This is due to the fact that the conditions required for volatile wildfire spread are easier to predict well in advance than the conditions required for a major tornado outbreak or derecho .