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The 2024 election was filled with new and unprecedented developments in the history of American electoral politics: A sitting President was pushed out of the race by his own party.
Days before the election, Polymarket odds showed Trump had a 60% chance of winning. The electorate took notice: Kalshi and Polymarket soared to the top of Apple's App Store on Tuesday evening.
Meanwhile, Polymarket shows Trump has a 54% chance of winning the presidential election with Harris trailing behind at just a 45.3% chance. PredictIt’s markets are a little closer.
Presidential elections were held in the United States on November 5, 2024. [a] The Republican Party's ticket—Donald Trump, who was the 45th president of the United States from 2017 to 2021, and JD Vance, the junior U.S. senator from Ohio—defeated the Democratic Party's ticket—Kamala Harris, the incumbent vice president, and Tim Walz, the 41st governor of Minnesota.
Several foreign nations reportedly interfered in the 2024 United States elections, including China, Iran, and Russia. The efforts largely focused on propaganda and disinformation campaigns using inauthentic accounts on social media, stoking domestic divisions, and denigrating the United States and democracy more broadly. [161] [162] [163]
Nearly $5 billion in bets have been placed on the outcome of the presidential election across Polymarket and Kalshi. The surge in election betting has catapulted Kalshi and Polymarket to the top ...
Here is a look at the states each candidate won in the 2024 presidential election. Electoral College Map. Follow live vote counts and see the full Electoral College map on USA TODAY's 2024 ...
In the weeks leading up to the 2024 presidential election, what appeared to be a small group of traders dumped millions of dollars into Polymarket, betting that Donald Trump would win.