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  2. Business cycle accounting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_cycle_accounting

    Business cycle accounting is an accounting procedure used in macroeconomics to decompose business cycle fluctuations into contributing factors. The procedure was introduced by V. V. Chari, Patrick Kehoe, and Ellen McGrattan but is similar to techniques introduced earlier. The underlying premise of the procedure is that the economy has a long ...

  3. Trough (economics) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trough_(economics)

    In economics, a trough is a low turning point or a local minimum of a business cycle. The time evolution of many economics variables exhibits a wave-like behavior with local maxima (peaks) followed by local minima (troughs). A business cycle may be defined as the period between two consecutive peaks. [1] [2]

  4. Hodrick–Prescott filter - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hodrick–Prescott_filter

    A working paper by Robert J. Hodrick titled "An Exploration of Trend-Cycle Decomposition Methodologies in Simulated Data" [10] examines whether the proposed alternative approach of James D. Hamilton is actually better than the HP filter at extracting the cyclical component of several simulated time series calibrated to approximate U.S. real GDP ...

  5. Business cycle - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_cycle

    Business cycles are a type of fluctuation found in the aggregate economic activity of nations that organize their work mainly in business enterprises: a cycle consists of expansions occurring at about the same time in many economic activities, followed by similarly general recessions, contractions, and revivals which merge into the expansion ...

  6. Stock market cycle - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stock_market_cycle

    Some sources argue identifying any such patterns as a "cycle" is a misnomer, because of their non-cyclical nature. [1] Economists using efficient-market hypothesis say that asset prices reflect all available information meaning that it is impossible to systematically beat the market by taking advantage of such cycles.

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  8. Reference date (United States business cycles) - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reference_date_(United...

    The reference dates of the United States' business cycles are determined by the Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), which looks at various coincident indicators such as real GDP, real personal income, employment, and sales to make informative judgments on when to set the historical dates of the peaks and troughs of past business cycles.

  9. Investors await new inflation data amid tariff concerns: What ...

    www.aol.com/finance/investors-await-inflation...

    One-year inflation expectations jumped to 4.3% in February from 3.3% last month, marking the the fifth time in 14 years that the survey reported a rise of 1 percentage point or more in year-ahead ...