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In probability theory, the conditional expectation, conditional expected value, or conditional mean of a random variable is its expected value evaluated with respect to the conditional probability distribution. If the random variable can take on only a finite number of values, the "conditions" are that the variable can only take on a subset of ...
The usual statement of the lemma is formulated in terms of one random variable being measurable with respect to the -algebra generated by the other. The lemma plays an important role in the conditional expectation in probability theory, where it allows replacement of the conditioning on a random variable by conditioning on the σ {\displaystyle ...
Thus, we postulate that the conditional expectation of given is a simple linear function of , {} = +, where the measurement is a random vector, is a matrix and is a vector. This can be seen as the first order Taylor approximation of E { x ∣ y } {\displaystyle \operatorname {E} \{x\mid y\}} .
In mathematical analysis and in probability theory, a σ-algebra ("sigma algebra"; also σ-field, where the σ comes from the German "Summe" [1]) on a set X is a nonempty collection Σ of subsets of X closed under complement, countable unions, and countable intersections. The ordered pair (,) is called a measurable space.
Consider a Radon space (that is a probability measure defined on a Radon space endowed with the Borel sigma-algebra) and a real-valued random variable T. As discussed above, in this case there exists a regular conditional probability with respect to T .
Here [] stands for the expectation conditioned to the σ-algebra . This general statement reduces to the previous ones when the topological vector space T is the real axis , and G {\displaystyle {\mathfrak {G}}} is the trivial σ -algebra {∅, Ω} (where ∅ is the empty set , and Ω is the sample space ).
More generally, one can refer to the conditional distribution of a subset of a set of more than two variables; this conditional distribution is contingent on the values of all the remaining variables, and if more than one variable is included in the subset then this conditional distribution is the conditional joint distribution of the included ...
In probability theory, a martingale is a sequence of random variables (i.e., a stochastic process) for which, at a particular time, the conditional expectation of the next value in the sequence is equal to the present value, regardless of all prior values. Stopped Brownian motion is an example of a martingale. It can model an even coin-toss ...