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The cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio, commonly known as CAPE, [1] Shiller P/E, or P/E 10 ratio, [2] is a stock valuation measure usually applied to the US S&P 500 equity market. It is defined as price divided by the average of ten years of earnings ( moving average ), adjusted for inflation. [ 3 ]
Math: the four-letter word you can say on TV yet so reviled that people go great lengths to avoid it, even when they know doing so puts their financial well-being in peril. Wait! Don't click away.
You find a P/E ratio by dividing a stock’s share price by the earnings per share, or EPS, which is simply the total net profits from the last year divided by the total number of outstanding shares.
Robert Shiller's plot of the S&P composite real price–earnings ratio and interest rates (1871–2012), from Irrational Exuberance, 2d ed. [1] In the preface to this edition, Shiller warns that "the stock market has not come down to historical levels: the price–earnings ratio as I define it in this book is still, at this writing [2005], in the mid-20s, far higher than the historical average
The price earnings ratio (P/E) of each identified peer company can be calculated as long as they are profitable. The P/E is calculated as: P/E = Current stock price / (Net profit / Weighted average number of shares) Particular attention is paid to companies with P/E ratios substantially higher or lower than the peer group.
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The average P/E ratio for U.S. stocks from 1900 to 2005 is 14, [citation needed] which equates to an earnings yield of over 7%. The Fed model is an example of a system that uses the earnings yield as a method to assess aggregate stock market valuation levels, although it is disputed.
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