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The next general election must be held no later than 15 August 2029 under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022. The Act mandates that any Parliament automatically dissolves five years after it first met – unless it is dissolved earlier at the request of the prime minister – and polling day occurs no more than 25 working days ...
Poll damping is when incorrect indicators of public opinion are not used in a forecast model. For instance, early in the campaign, polls are poor measures of the future choices of voters. The poll results closer to an election are a more accurate prediction. Campbell [6] shows the power of poll damping in political forecasting.
1 November 2021 – 13 April 2022: Somalia, House of the People [91] 24–29 January: Italy, President [92] 26 January: Nepal, National Assembly; 5 February: Algeria, Council of the Nation [93] 13 February: Germany, President [94] 3 March: Armenia, President [95] 10 March: Hungary, President [96] 8 May: Hong Kong, Chief Executive [97]
Reform UK placed third in the share of the vote in the 2024 election and had MPs elected to the Commons for the first time. [12] Farage and his party Reform UK have done well in opinion polls in expense of both Labour and the Conservatives. The Liberal Democrats made significant gains to reach their highest ever number of seats.
The 2022 Welsh local elections are contested under new boundaries. This is the first time Welsh councils can choose between the first-past-the-post system and a proportional single transferable vote (STV) system, but councils need to give advance notice of such a change.
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The UK government announces a scheme that will freeze wholesale gas and electricity prices for businesses for six months from 1 October. [175] 22 September – The UK government reverses the ban on fracking in the UK. [176] UK interest rates rise from 1.75 to 2.25%, the biggest increase in 27 years, as the Bank of England attempts to curb ...
4 May: 2023 England local elections [1] 18 May: 2023 Northern Ireland local elections [2] 20 July: 2023 Uxbridge and South Ruislip by-election; 20 July: 2023 Selby and Ainsty by-election; 20 July: 2023 Somerton and Frome by-election; 5 October: 2023 Rutherglen and Hamilton West by-election; 12 October: 2023 Gibraltar general election