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  2. US 2025 Recession Odds Plummet: Good News Or Warning Sign? - AOL

    www.aol.com/us-2025-recession-odds-plummet...

    In June 2023, the New York Fed’s model — which calculates recession probabilities based on the yield spread between 10-year Treasury bonds and three-month bills — estimated a 70% chance of a ...

  3. Will Your Home Lose Value in a Recession? - AOL

    www.aol.com/home-lose-value-recession-211640974.html

    In a December press release on homeowner equity, Hepp said, “At 43.6%, the average U.S. loan-to-value (LTV) ratio is only slightly higher than in the past two quarters and still significantly ...

  4. Is a recession on the way? What data says about the economy - AOL

    www.aol.com/finance/recession-way-data-says...

    Falling home purchases. Analysts are working to digest a host of signals about the state of the U.S. economy, which emerged from a pandemic recession stronger than anyone could have believed.

  5. Political debates about the United States federal budget

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_debates_about...

    The U.S. federal government may be required to assist state governments further, as many U.S. states are facing budget shortfalls due to the 2008–2010 recession. The sharp decline in home prices has affected property tax revenue, while the decline in economic activity and consumer spending has led to a falloff in revenues from state sales ...

  6. COVID-19 recession - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_recession

    Since China is the second largest economy in the world and property makes up a large amount of their GDP, it threatens to destabilise the COVID-19 recession even further, especially considering China is currently deep within a housing bubble eclipsing the United States housing bubble that led to the previous global recession.

  7. The U.S. economy is headed for a hard landing, and Fed rate ...

    www.aol.com/finance/u-economy-headed-hard...

    Last year's consensus was that the U.S. economy was headed for a recession, but that didn't happen. This year's consensus is that we'll have a soft landing, in which the economy slows but won't ...

  8. National fiscal policy responses to the Great Recession

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_fiscal_policy...

    The United States combined many stimulus measures into the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, a $787 billion bill covering a variety of expenditures from rebates on taxes to business investment. $184.9 billion was to be spent in 2009, and $399.4 billion was to be spent in 2010 with the remainder of the bill's appropriations spread ...

  9. Will the US economy enter a recession? It's 'a coin toss ...

    www.aol.com/finance/us-economy-enter-recession...

    Given high levels of inflation and rising rates — which has sent the 30-year mortgage ballooning to 5% — many economists are warning of an impending recession by sometime in 2023.