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The 538 predictive model for the 2024 presidential election shows President Biden more likely to win than former President Trump — Biden’s best odds since May. The model’s Tuesday update ...
See live updates of California election results from the 2024 election, including Senate and House races, state elections and ballot initiatives.
Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...
While politics and elections remained the main focus of FiveThirtyEight, the blog also sometimes addressed sports, including the March Madness [538 50] [538 51] [42] and the 2012 NCAA Men's Basketball tournament selection process, [538 52] the B.C.S. rankings in NCAA college football, [43] the NBA, [538 53] [538 54] [538 55] and Major League ...
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The California Golden Bears football program represents the University of California, Berkeley in college football as a member of the Atlantic Coast Conference at the NCAA Division I FBS level. They were previously a member of the Pac-12 Conference. The team plays its home games at California Memorial Stadium and is coached by Justin Wilcox.
Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...
On Tuesday, 538 released its 2024 election forecast for the House of Representatives. The general idea behind our forecast is to combine polling data (say, on which party Americans want to control ...