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Asteroid impact prediction is the prediction of the dates and times of asteroids impacting Earth, along with the locations and severities of the impacts. The process of impact prediction follows three major steps: Discovery of an asteroid and initial assessment of its orbit which is generally based on a short observation arc of less than 2 weeks.
This is a list of asteroids that have impacted Earth after discovery and orbit calculation that predicted the impact in advance. As of December 2024 [update] , all of the asteroids with predicted impacts were under 5 m (16 ft) in size that were discovered just hours before impact, and burned up in the atmosphere as meteors .
Sentry is an automated impact prediction system started in 2002 and operated by the Center for Near Earth Object Studies (CNEOS) at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory. It continually monitors the most up-to-date asteroid catalog for possibilities of future impact with Earth over the next 100+ years. [1]
2024 XA 1, formerly designated as C0WEPC5, is a small meteoroid that fell over eastern Siberia near the city of Olekminsk on 3 December 2024, 16:15 GMT, around 1,000 kilometers east of the Tunguska event impact location. [4] [5] It is the eleventh impact event ever that was successfully predicted, and the fourth in 2024.
The asteroid, called 2024 UQ, was first spotted on 22 October by the Asteroid Terrestrial Impact Last Alert System, or ATLAS, a telescope network scanning the sky for space rocks likely headed for ...
2024 UQ, designated formerly as A11dc6D, was a one-meter meteoroid that struck the Earth's atmosphere and burned up harmlessly on 22 October 2024 above the Pacific Ocean off the coast of California. 2024 UQ is the tenth impact event that was successfully predicted, which was discovered by the ATLAS survey.
This is a category of impact events (generally asteroids) which had been predicted before impact. Pages in category "Predicted impact events" The following 16 pages are in this category, out of 16 total.
As sky surveys improve, smaller and smaller asteroids are regularly being discovered. The small near-Earth asteroids 2008 TC 3, 2014 AA, 2018 LA, 2019 MO, 2022 EB 5, 2022 WJ 1, 2023 CX 1, 2024 BX 1, 2024 RW 1, 2024 UQ, and 2024 XA 1 are the only eleven asteroids discovered before impacting into Earth (see asteroid impact prediction).