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  2. Margin of error - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Margin_of_error

    This interval is called the confidence interval, and the radius (half the interval) is called the margin of error, corresponding to a 95% confidence level. Generally, at a confidence level γ {\displaystyle \gamma } , a sample sized n {\displaystyle n} of a population having expected standard deviation σ {\displaystyle \sigma } has a margin of ...

  3. Confidence interval - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confidence_interval

    A 95% confidence level does not mean that 95% of the sample data lie within the confidence interval. A 95% confidence level does not mean that there is a 95% probability of the parameter estimate from a repeat of the experiment falling within the confidence interval computed from a given experiment. [25]

  4. 97.5th percentile point - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/97.5th_percentile_point

    The approximate value of this number is 1.96, meaning that 95% of the area under a normal curve lies within approximately 1.96 standard deviations of the mean. Because of the central limit theorem, this number is used in the construction of approximate 95% confidence intervals. Its ubiquity is due to the arbitrary but common convention of using ...

  5. Confidence and prediction bands - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confidence_and_prediction...

    For example, f(x) might be the proportion of people of a particular age x who support a given candidate in an election. If x is measured at the precision of a single year, we can construct a separate 95% confidence interval for each age. Each of these confidence intervals covers the corresponding true value f(x) with confidence 0.

  6. 68–95–99.7 rule - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/68–95–99.7_rule

    In statistics, the 68–95–99.7 rule, also known as the empirical rule, and sometimes abbreviated 3sr or 3 σ, is a shorthand used to remember the percentage of values that lie within an interval estimate in a normal distribution: approximately 68%, 95%, and 99.7% of the values lie within one, two, and three standard deviations of the mean ...

  7. Talk:Margin of error - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Talk:Margin_of_error

    Given this information: Level of confidence: 95 % Margin of error: 4% Results: A:50% B:30% C:20% There is a 95 % chance that A is within 4% of correct. There is a larger than 95% chance that b is within 4% of correct. There is an even larger percent chance that C is within 4% of correct. Is that all correct?

  8. Confidence region - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confidence_region

    The confidence region is calculated in such a way that if a set of measurements were repeated many times and a confidence region calculated in the same way on each set of measurements, then a certain percentage of the time (e.g. 95%) the confidence region would include the point representing the "true" values of the set of variables being estimated.

  9. Prediction interval - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prediction_interval

    For example, to calculate the 95% prediction interval for a normal distribution with a mean (μ) of 5 and a standard deviation (σ) of 1, then z is approximately 2. Therefore, the lower limit of the prediction interval is approximately 5 ‒ (2⋅1) = 3, and the upper limit is approximately 5 + (2⋅1) = 7, thus giving a prediction interval of ...