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The Good Judgment Project (GJP) is an organization dedicated to "harnessing the wisdom of the crowd to forecast world events".It was co-created by Philip E. Tetlock (author of Superforecasting and Expert Political Judgment), decision scientist Barbara Mellers, and Don Moore, all professors at the University of Pennsylvania.
Predictions of apocalyptic events that will result in the extinction of humanity, a collapse of civilization, or the destruction of the planet have been made since at least the beginning of the Common Era. [1] Most predictions are related to Abrahamic religions, often standing for or similar to the eschatological events described in their ...
[2] [4] In June 2017, the Metaculus Prediction was launched, which is a system for aggregating user predictions. [8] The Metaculus Prediction, on average, outperforms the median of the community's predictions when evaluated using the Brier or Log scoring rules. [9] In 2021, Metaculus received an Effective altruism infrastructure fund grant ...
Web Bot is an internet bot computer program whose developers claim is able to predict future events by tracking keywords entered on the internet. It was developed in 1997, originally to predict stock market trends. [1]
Manifold, formerly known as Manifold Markets, is an online prediction market platform. [1] [2] Users engage in competitive forecasting using play money called 'mana', as well as 'Sweepcash,' which can be withdrawn for real money, or donated to charity. [3] Topics on Manifold have included the 2024 United States presidential election and the ...
Prediction Games have recently become popular on the internet. These speculative games offer topics ranging from the world of entertainment, sports, and finance to various world current events. On the surface, Prediction Games may appear similar to prediction market games; however, there are major differences between the two. Prediction Games ...
Augur is a decentralized prediction market platform built on the Ethereum blockchain. [1] Augur is developed by Forecast Foundation, which was founded in 2014 by Jack Peterson, Joey Krug, and Jeremy Gardner. [2]
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