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The next general election must be held no later than 15 August 2029 under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022. The Act mandates that any Parliament automatically dissolves five years after it first met – unless it is dissolved earlier at the request of the prime minister – and polling day occurs no more than 25 working days ...
Across the 12 general elections from 1992 to 2024, the site correctly predicted the party to win the most seats in all but one (1992). They also correctly predicted the outcome, that is, the party winning a majority or a hung parliament, in six elections (majorities in 1997, 2001, 2005, 2015, 2017 (by a majority of only 3), 2019, 2024; hung parliament for 2010).
Under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022, the prime minister has the power to request the monarch call an election at any time during the five-year length of a parliamentary session. If the prime minister chooses not to do this, then parliament is automatically dissolved five years after the day it first met, [ 21 ] and a ...
It was rebranded as Savanta ComRes in November 2019 [3] and as Savanta in December 2022. [4] In August 2023, the market research company Omnisis rebranded its public polling arm as We Think. [5] In October 2023, the Norstat group acquired Panelbase. [6] In November 2023, Kantar Public rebranded to Verian. [7]
All of them hold whole-council elections on a four-year cycle that includes 2025. However, 7 county councils (Norfolk, Suffolk, Essex, Surrey, East Sussex, West Sussex, and Hampshire) had their elections cancelled due to local government reorganisation. A total of 16 county councils applied for their elections to be cancelled.
The ONS publishes its latest forecast of UK population, suggesting that the number of people in the UK could rise from 67 to 73.7 million by 2036, driven by strong immigration. [131] [132] 31 January Post-Brexit controls on food, plant and animal imports to Britain from the EU come into force. [133]
The next day, Zahawi and Donelan called for Johnson to resign, with Donelan herself resigning from the cabinet. [63] A poll by YouGov showed that 59% of Conservative Party members wanted Johnson to resign. [64] Johnson announced his pending resignation on the same day, 7 July, saying a new leader would take office before October 2022.
Prediction markets may also be subject to speculative bubbles. For example, in the year 2000 IEM presidential futures markets, seeming "inaccuracy" comes from buying that occurred on or after Election Day, 11/7/00, but, by then, the trend was clear. There can also be direct attempts to manipulate such markets.