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The Storm Prediction Center issues convective outlooks (AC), consisting of categorical and probabilistic forecasts describing the general threat of severe convective storms over the contiguous United States for the next six to 192 hours (Day 1 through Day 8). These outlooks are labeled and issued by day, and are issued up to five times per day ...
A high risk severe weather event is the greatest threat level issued by the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) for convective weather events in the United States. On the scale from one to five, a high risk is a level five; thus, high risks are issued only when forecasters at the SPC are confident of a major severe weather outbreak.
Convective mesoscale discussions are issued by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Storm Prediction Center based on the National Weather Center in Norman, Oklahoma. [ 1 ] [ 2 ] One type of mesoscale discussion is a meso-gamma mesoscale discussion , which are for tornadoes believed to be at least EF2 on the Enhanced Fujita ...
The National Hurricane Center's forecast cone for Tropical Storm Helene as of Sept. 24, 2024, at 2 p.m. ... and most of the intense convective clouds are still east of the center, said David Roth ...
Convective storm detection is the meteorological observation, and short-term prediction, of deep moist convection (DMC). DMC describes atmospheric conditions producing single or clusters of large vertical extension clouds ranging from cumulus congestus to cumulonimbus , the latter producing thunderstorms associated with lightning and thunder .
Date/Time Thumbnail Dimensions User Comment; current: 07:01, 22 May 2024: 815 × 555 (34 KB): Ks0stm {{Information |Description=Storm Prediction Center's Day 1 convective outlook for May 21, 2024, issued at 1300Z, indicating a moderate risk for severe weather over much of Iowa and nearby parts of Wisconsin, Illinois, Missouri, and southeastern Minnesota.
The Storm Prediction Center's Day 1 convective outlook for May 21, 2024, issued at 1300Z, indicating a moderate risk for severe weather over much of Iowa and nearby parts of Wisconsin, Illinois, Missouri, and southeastern Minnesota.
High risk convective outlook issued by the Storm Prediction center at 13:00 UTC on May 6. Starting April 30, the Storm Prediction Center noted that certain models, including the ECMWF, forecasted a multi-day period of high instability and supportive wind shear across the Southern and Central Plains, [10] and by May 1, a 15% risk was added across Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, and northern Texas. [11]