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  2. Nate Silver - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver

    Since departing FiveThirtyEight, Silver has been publishing on his Substack blog Silver Bulletin [3] and serves as an advisor to Polymarket. [ 4 ] Silver was named one of the world's 100 most influential people by Time in 2009 after his election forecasting model correctly predicted the outcomes in 49 of 50 states in the 2008 U.S. presidential ...

  3. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight

    The first column of the renamed FiveThirtyEight: Nate Silver's Political Calculus appeared in the Times on August 25, 2010, with the introduction of U.S. Senate election forecasts. At the same time, Silver published a brief history of the blog. [538 43] All columns from the original FiveThirtyEight were also archived for public access. [40]

  4. List of awards won by The New York Times - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_awards_won_by_the...

    FiveThirtyEight — Nate Silver's Political Calculus: Nate Silver: 2013 General Excellence in Online Journalism, Large N/A The New York Times Staff [47] Gannett Foundation Award for Technical Innovation in the Service of Digital Journalism D3.js: Mike Bostock 2013 Knight Award for Public Service Justice Denied: Bronx Courts William Glaberson

  5. Top polling guru reveals final 2024 election prediction model ...

    www.aol.com/news/top-polling-guru-reveals-final...

    Polling guru Nate Silver has revealed his final prediction model for the 2024 presidential election – and has concluded the race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is “literally closer ...

  6. Allan Lichtman vs. Nate Silver: Who will accurately predict ...

    www.aol.com/allan-lichtman-vs-nate-silver...

    Silver gained national recognition in 2008 when his statistical model correctly forecasted the outcome of the presidential election in 49 of the 50 states. His model has since predicted the ...

  7. Top pollster finds Trump gaining momentum against Harris ...

    www.aol.com/top-pollster-finds-trump-gaining...

    Silver’s model predicts that Harris has a 58.9% chance at winning the national popular vote – which has no bearing on the winner of the race – but that Trump will rack up 274 Electoral ...

  8. The Keys to the White House - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House

    [73] [49] [6]) Lichtman has been credited with a correct prediction for 2000 based on the popular vote. [74] [75] Lichtman has explained that, in advance of the 2016 election, he switched to predicting the electoral vote, because demographic shifts created millions of "wasted" Democratic votes in New York and California.

  9. Nate Silver: ‘My gut says’ Trump will win - AOL

    www.aol.com/nate-silver-gut-says-trump-144157499...

    Silver wrote in a guest essay published Wednesday by The New York Times that calling the race a 50-50 toss-up is the “only responsible forecast,” with polls showing the race as razor-tight in ...