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  2. Harris-Trump polls tighten, but PredictIt and Polymarket tell ...

    www.aol.com/finance/harris-trump-polls-tighten...

    Meanwhile, Polymarket shows Trump has a 54% chance of winning the presidential election with Harris trailing behind at just a 45.3% chance. PredictIt’s markets are a little closer.

  3. How prediction markets saw something the polls and pundits didn’t

    www.aol.com/prediction-markets-saw-something...

    The emergence of that so-called Trump whale sparked intense scrutiny of Polymarket over the past several weeks, because it sure looked possible that an anonymous deep-pocketed investor was trying ...

  4. Trump’s chances dip slightly on Polymarket, Cooper favored as ...

    www.aol.com/finance/trump-chances-dip-slightly...

    Her odds of becoming the next president have jumped from 18% to 29% on Polymarket, and up from 27% to 40% on PredictIt. FiveThirtyEight’s approval poll show a 50% disapproval rating for the vice ...

  5. The Trump trade is back on as betting markets swing in favor ...

    www.aol.com/trump-trade-back-betting-markets...

    With nearly $1 billion wagered on the outcome of the presidential election at Polymarket, Trump's odds of winning were listed as 61.3%, compared to 38.6% for Harris, at 8:52 a.m. ET on Thursday.

  6. Here's what people are betting on in prediction markets now ...

    www.aol.com/heres-people-betting-prediction...

    Here are some of the most popular bets on Kalshi and Polymarket now that the election is over. Super Bowl Champion 2025 The Chargers and Chiefs last faced off in January 2024.

  7. Traders on Polymarket are betting on Harris’s odds of beating ...

    www.aol.com/finance/traders-polymarket-betting...

    Polymarket did not respond to Fortune’s request for an interview. That isn’t to say prediction markets are always right. In 2016, PredictIt bettors notched Hillary Clinton at an 80% chance of ...

  8. Polymarket tilts toward a Donald Trump victory in the ...

    www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-tilts-toward...

    Polymarket, built on the Polygon blockchain, has seen rapid growth this election cycle. Its total value locked (TVL) surged from $9.5 million in stablecoins at the start of the year to $220 million.

  9. A mystery Polymarket trader bet major money that Trump would ...

    www.aol.com/finance/french-whale-polymarket-just...

    The total U.S. presidential contract, or market, had grown to a whopping $3.6 billion. Although the news outlets called the election before 11 a.m. EST Wednesday, there was a gap between when the ...