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The most important insight of the model is that adjustment lags in some parts of the economy can induce compensating volatility in others; specifically, when an exogenous variable changes, the short-term effect on the exchange rate can be greater than the long-run effect, so in the short term, the exchange rate overshoots its new equilibrium ...
Obstfeld and Rogoff (2000) identified the purchasing power and exchange rate disconnect puzzle as one of the six major puzzles in international economics. [4] These were the consumption correlation puzzle, home bias in trade puzzle, the equity home bias puzzle, the Feldstein-Horioka savings-investment correlations puzzle, and the exchange rate regime puzzle.
In a floating exchange rate system, a currency's value goes up (or down) if the demand for it goes up more (or less) than the supply does. In the short run this can happen unpredictably for a variety of reasons, including the balance of trade, speculation, or other factors in the international capital market. For example, a surge in purchases ...
4. Speculation. As investors try to earn a profit, their speculation on a currency’s value could cause the exchange rate to change. Suppose investors believe a nation’s money is overvalued.
Here’s how exchange rates are determined: Supply and demand in the global foreign exchange market—where traders buy and sell currencies based on several economic factors—decide exchange ...
While one version of the impossible trinity is focused on the extreme case – with a perfectly fixed exchange rate and a perfectly open capital account, a country has absolutely no autonomous monetary policy – the real world has thrown up repeated examples where the capital controls are loosened, resulting in greater exchange rate rigidity ...
Brazilian Finance Minister Guido Mantega, who made headlines when he raised the alarm about a currency war in September 2010. Currency war, also known as competitive devaluations, is a condition in international affairs where countries seek to gain a trade advantage over other countries by causing the exchange rate of their currency to fall in relation to other currencies.
An example of an economic risk would be a shift in exchange rates that influences the demand for a good sold in a foreign country. Another example of an economic risk is the possibility that macroeconomic conditions will influence an investment in a foreign country. [8]