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As an example, Canada's net population growth was 2.7 percent in the year 2022, dividing 72 by 2.7 gives an approximate doubling time of about 27 years. Thus if that growth rate were to remain constant, Canada's population would double from its 2023 figure of about 39 million to about 78 million by 2050.
The doubling time (t d) of a population is the time required for the population to grow to twice its size. [24] We can calculate the doubling time of a geometric population using the equation: N t = λ t N 0 by exploiting our knowledge of the fact that the population (N) is twice its size (2N) after the doubling time. [20]
One may then define the generation time as the time it takes for the population to increase by a factor of . For example, in microbiology , a population of cells undergoing exponential growth by mitosis replaces each cell by two daughter cells, so that R 0 = 2 {\displaystyle \textstyle R_{0}=2} and T {\displaystyle T} is the population doubling ...
P 0 = P(0) is the initial population size, r = the population growth rate, which Ronald Fisher called the Malthusian parameter of population growth in The Genetical Theory of Natural Selection, [2] and Alfred J. Lotka called the intrinsic rate of increase, [3] [4] t = time. The model can also be written in the form of a differential equation:
A popular approximated method for calculating the doubling time from the growth rate is the rule of 70, that is, /. Graphs comparing doubling times and half lives of exponential growths (bold lines) and decay (faint lines), and their 70/ t and 72/ t approximations.
In finance, the rule of 72, the rule of 70 [1] and the rule of 69.3 are methods for estimating an investment's doubling time. The rule number (e.g., 72) is divided by the interest percentage per period (usually years) to obtain the approximate number of periods required for doubling.
Population of the present-day top seven most-populous countries, 1800 to 2100. Future projections are based on the 2024 UN's medium-fertility scenario. Chart created by Our World In Data in 2024. The following is a list of countries by past and projected future population. This assumes that countries stay constant in the unforeseeable future ...
Graph of world population over the past 12,000 years . As a general rule, the confidence of estimates on historical world population decreases for the more distant past. Robust population data exist only for the last two or three centuries. Until the late 18th century, few governments had ever performed an accurate census.