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Forecaster: Broyles. Issued: 30/0803Z. Valid: Sat 11/02 1200Z - Thu 11/07 1200Z. Note: A severe weather area depicted in the Day 4-8 period indicates a 15%, 30% or higher probability for severe thunderstorms (e.g. a 15%, 30% chance that a severe thunderstorm will occur within 25 miles of any point).
Severe-thunderstorm threat exists from north Texas to the Hill Country and parts of central/east Texas this afternoon and evening. The most focused tornado, damaging-wind and hail potential is expected to be across North Texas. For additional details, see the latest Day 1 Convective Outlook.
This is today's forecast for organized severe thunderstorms over the contiguous United States. Please read the description of the risk categories for further information. You may find the latest Day 1 Outlook available as well as all Outlooks issued today online.
The Storm Reports page is organized based on reports received from 1200 UTC to 1159 UTC the next day. For example, storm report page for 20150430 covers reports from 20150430 at 1200 UTC to 20150501 at 1159 UTC.
Fire. Day 1 Convective Outlook. – Categorical Risk: Slight. – Issued: 11/07/2024 at 0040Z. Thunderstorm Outlook. – Issued: 11/07/2024 at 0038Z. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook. – Categorical Risk:
0157 PM CST Tue Nov 05 2024. Valid 052000Z - 061200Z. ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN PORTIONS OF. SOUTHERN WISCONSIN AND FROM THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY INTO THE LOWER. MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Locally damaging winds and perhaps a tornado or two may occur across.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is issued when there is a forecast of organized convection producing at least 6 total severe weather events. Watches encourage the general public to stay alert for changing weather conditions and probable warnings.
Overview: The Day 1, 2 and 3 convective outlooks consist of a text narrative and graphic depicting severe and general thunderstorm threats across the continental United States. The outlook text is written in scientific language for sophisticated weather users.
A Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast for Wed (11/06) A few brief tornadoes will be possible within outer bands of Tropical Cyclone Rafael, from late morning into the evening Wednesday across the Keys and the far southern Peninsula of Florida.
Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.