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The year 2024 was one for the history books, and 538's visual journalists and reporters were hard at work explaining the data behind the news with visualizations and interactives. From 538’s ...
"Kamala Harris had been as short as 20/21 yesterday to win November's vote, however those odds have drifted out to 21/20 following the vice president debate overnight," Rosbottom said.
Since 1933, only five vice presidents have been successfully elected to serve as commander-in-chief.. Vance, 40, is followed on the odds list by former first lady Michelle Obama (+500), California ...
Assassinated at age 46, John F. Kennedy was the youngest president at the end of his tenure, and his lifespan was the shortest of any president. [4] The oldest president at the end of his tenure is Joe Biden at age 82 years, 2 months. Jimmy Carter had the longest lifespan of any president, becoming the first president to reach the age of 100. [5]
On September 3, 2014, FiveThirtyEight introduced its forecasts for each of the 36 U.S. Senate elections being contested that year. [538 69] At that time, the Republican Party was given a 64 percent chance of holding a majority of the seats in the Senate after the election. However, Silver also remarked, "An equally important theme is the high ...
On July 15, Trump had a 64% chance of winning the election, but then he was running against President Joe Biden. Harris officially became the Democratic candidate in early August. She rode that ...
The proportion of times Clinton wins 270 or more electoral votes is the probability she becomes president. The proportion of times Trump wins 270 or more electoral votes is the probability he becomes president. Download our TSV file for likely vote counts. Find out more about our methodology.
Here's a list of betting odds for top candidates for four years from now via sportsbettingdime.com, with the caveat that U.S. bookmakers cannot take betting action on an election: JD Vance: 3/1 (+300)