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Statistical risk is a quantification of a situation's risk using statistical methods.These methods can be used to estimate a probability distribution for the outcome of a specific variable, or at least one or more key parameters of that distribution, and from that estimated distribution a risk function can be used to obtain a single non-negative number representing a particular conception of ...
Empirical risk minimization for a classification problem with a 0-1 loss function is known to be an NP-hard problem even for a relatively simple class of functions such as linear classifiers. [5] Nevertheless, it can be solved efficiently when the minimal empirical risk is zero, i.e., data is linearly separable .
In a finite decision problem, the risk point of an admissible decision rule has either lower x-coordinates or y-coordinates than all other risk points or, more formally, it is the set of rules with risk points of the form (,) such that {(,):,} = (,). Thus the left side of the lower boundary of the risk set is the set of admissible decision rules.
An example is shown on the left. The parameter space has just two elements and each point on the graph corresponds to the risk of a decision rule: the x-coordinate is the risk when the parameter is and the y-coordinate is the risk when the parameter is . In this decision problem, the minimax estimator lies on a line segment connecting two ...
The Bayes risk of ^ is defined as ((, ^)), where the expectation is taken over the probability distribution of : this defines the risk function as a function of ^. An estimator θ ^ {\displaystyle {\widehat {\theta }}} is said to be a Bayes estimator if it minimizes the Bayes risk among all estimators.
The MSE either assesses the quality of a predictor (i.e., a function mapping arbitrary inputs to a sample of values of some random variable), or of an estimator (i.e., a mathematical function mapping a sample of data to an estimate of a parameter of the population from which the data is sampled).
where ƒ is the unknown density, ƒ n is its estimate based on a sample of n independent and identically distributed random variables. Here, E denotes the expected value with respect to that sample. The MISE is also known as L 2 risk function.
Probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) is a systematic and comprehensive methodology to evaluate risks associated with a complex engineered technological entity (such as an airliner or a nuclear power plant) or the effects of stressors on the environment (probabilistic environmental risk assessment, or PERA).