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The confidence interval can be expressed in terms of statistical significance, e.g.: "The 95% confidence interval represents values that are not statistically significantly different from the point estimate at the .05 level." [20] Interpretation of the 95% confidence interval in terms of statistical significance.
In the social sciences, a result may be considered statistically significant if its confidence level is of the order of a two-sigma effect (95%), while in particle physics and astrophysics, there is a convention of requiring statistical significance of a five-sigma effect (99.99994% confidence) to qualify as a discovery. [3]
gives 50.000% level of confidence Half 1.0000 gives 68.269% level of confidence One std dev 1.6449 gives 90.000% level of confidence "One nine" 1.9599 gives 95.000% level of confidence 95 percent 2.0000 gives 95.450% level of confidence Two std dev 2.5759 gives 99.000% level of confidence "Two nines" 3.0000 gives 99.730% level of confidence
However, at 95% confidence, Q = 0.455 < 0.466 = Q table 0.167 is not considered an outlier. McBane [ 1 ] notes: Dixon provided related tests intended to search for more than one outlier, but they are much less frequently used than the r 10 or Q version that is intended to eliminate a single outlier.
The E and SD values are then used to convert the project time estimates to confidence intervals as follows: The 68% confidence interval for the true project work time is approximately E(project) ± SD(project) The 90% confidence interval for the true project work time is approximately E(project) ± 1.645 × SD(project) The 95% confidence ...
The probability density function (PDF) for the Wilson score interval, plus PDF s at interval bounds. Tail areas are equal. Since the interval is derived by solving from the normal approximation to the binomial, the Wilson score interval ( , + ) has the property of being guaranteed to obtain the same result as the equivalent z-test or chi-squared test.
If each interval individually has coverage probability 0.95, the simultaneous coverage probability is generally less than 0.95. A 95% simultaneous confidence band is a collection of confidence intervals for all values x in the domain of f(x) that is constructed to have simultaneous coverage probability 0.95.
The rule can then be derived [2] either from the Poisson approximation to the binomial distribution, or from the formula (1−p) n for the probability of zero events in the binomial distribution. In the latter case, the edge of the confidence interval is given by Pr(X = 0) = 0.05 and hence (1−p) n = .05 so n ln(1–p) = ln .05 ≈ −2