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These are assigned by credit rating agencies such as Moody's, Standard & Poor's, and Fitch, which publish code designations (such as AAA, B, CC) to express their assessment of the risk quality of a bond. Moody's assigns bond credit ratings of Aaa, Aa, A, Baa, Ba, B, Caa, Ca, C, as well as WR and NR for 'withdrawn' and 'not rated' respectively. [4]
Moody's Ratings, previously known as Moody's Investors Service and often referred to as Moody's, is the bond credit rating business of Moody's Corporation, representing the company's traditional line of business and its historical name. Moody's Ratings provides international financial research on bonds issued by commercial and government entities.
However, some studies have estimated the average risk and reward of bonds by rating. One study by Moody's [8] [9] claimed that over a "5-year time horizon" bonds it gave its highest rating (Aaa) to had a "cumulative default rate" of 0.18%, the next highest (Aa2) 0.28%, the next (Baa2) 2.11%, 8.82% for the next (Ba2), and 31.24% for the lowest ...
Weakening bond sentiment could prove a contrarian indicator heading into 2025, Rosenberg Research says. Investors aren't feeling good about the bond market heading into the new year.
Bankrate’s Fourth-Quarter Market Mavens Survey found that market pros forecast the 10-year Treasury will yield an average of 4.14 percent 12 months from now, up from last quarter’s projection ...
In August 2011, S&P downgraded the long-held triple-A rating of US securities. [1] On August 1, 2023, Fitch downgraded its credit-rating of United States Treasuries from AAA to AA+, as S&P had twelve years earlier, leaving only Moody's to still assign its highest rating to the country's debt.
The market is underestimating how much the Federal Reserve's will cut rates in 2025, Goldman Sachs says. The Fed fund rate will drop to 3.25-3.50% by the end of 2025, the bank estimates.
The 2011 S&P downgrade was the first time the US federal government was given a rating below AAA. S&P had announced a negative outlook on the AAA rating in April 2011. The downgrade to AA+ occurred four days after the 112th United States Congress voted to raise the debt ceiling of the federal government by means of the Budget Control Act of 2011 on August 2, 2011.