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Trendlines are 30-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
Here is a look at three polling averages for the presidential race nationally and in seven key battleground states as of Sept. 10 at 11 a.m. Arizona (11 electoral votes) FiveThirtyEight average ...
Former President Trump and Vice President Harris are tied in key battleground states, according to a new CBS News poll published Sunday, as Democrats rally behind Harris as their newly official ...
Not even 1 percentage point separates Kamala Harris (48%) and Donald Trump (47.3%) in head-to-head polling in battleground districts. Battleground-district poll shows Trump’s path to victory ...
They post pieces on current events and topics, as well as news about opinion polls. The site reports on political races and projections, and features the average result of all current presidential polls and also offers a best-guess projection of Electoral College votes.
According to that poll, compared to 2020, Trump has drastically improved his support among minority voters, including double-digit increases among Black voters (12 percent vs. 23 percent) and ...
Mainstreet Research published its first poll on December 9, 2013. [6] [7] Since then, Mainstreet Research (formerly Mainstreet Technologies) has published hundreds of polls across dozens of elections and in between elections on matters of public policy. [8] [9] A summary of the elections covered by Mainstreet can be found below.
Vice President Harris is leading or tied with former President Trump in six of seven battleground states as she continues to transform the 2024 race after President Biden’s exit last month ...