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= the value expected from the growth formulas over the next 7 to 10 years = trailing twelve months earnings per share = P/E base for a no-growth company = reasonably expected 7 to 10 year growth rate (see Sustainable growth rate § From a financial perspective)
Historically, gilt names referred to their purpose of issuance, or signified how a stock had been created, such as 10 + 1 ⁄ 4 % Conversion Stock 1999; or different names were used for different gilts simply to minimise confusion between them. In more recent times, gilts have been generally named Treasury Stocks.
Thus modified duration is approximately equal to the percentage change in price for a given finite change in yield. So a 15-year bond with a Macaulay duration of 7 years would have a modified duration of roughly 7 years and would fall approximately 7% in value if the interest rate increased by one percentage point (say from 7% to 8%). [20]
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There is a time dimension to the analysis of bond values. A 10-year bond at purchase becomes a 9-year bond a year later, and the year after it becomes an 8-year bond, etc. Each year the bond moves incrementally closer to maturity, resulting in lower volatility and shorter duration and demanding a lower interest rate when the yield curve is rising.
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