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2. Harris-Trump polls tighten, but PredictIt and Polymarket tell ...

   www.aol.com/finance/harris-trump-polls-tighten...

   Meanwhile, Polymarket shows Trump has a 54% chance of winning the presidential election with Harris trailing behind at just a 45.3% chance. PredictIt’s markets are a little closer.

3. How prediction markets saw something the polls and pundits didn’t

   www.aol.com/prediction-markets-saw-something...

   For free market purists, the success of betting sites like Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt isn’t surprising at all. The basic theory behind prediction markets is that a lot of people with money ...

4. Trump’s chances dip slightly on Polymarket, Cooper favored as ...

   www.aol.com/finance/trump-chances-dip-slightly...

   Her odds of becoming the next president have jumped from 18% to 29% on Polymarket, and up from 27% to 40% on PredictIt. FiveThirtyEight’s approval poll show a 50% disapproval rating for the vice ...

5. Polymarket users have wagered $3.2 billion on the outcome of ...

   www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-users-wagered-3-2...

   The majority of bets went for Trump, with $1.3 billion wagered on the former president and $827 million on Harris. Polymarket users have wagered $3.2 billion on the outcome of the election—and ...

6. Here's what people are betting on in prediction markets now ...

   www.aol.com/heres-people-betting-prediction...

   Here are some of the most popular bets on Kalshi and Polymarket now that the election is over. Super Bowl Champion 2025 The Chargers and Chiefs last faced off in January 2024.

7. Polymarket tilts toward a Donald Trump victory in the ...

   www.aol.com/finance/polymarket-tilts-toward...

   Polymarket, built on the Polygon blockchain, has seen rapid growth this election cycle. Its total value locked (TVL) surged from $9.5 million in stablecoins at the start of the year to $220 million.

8. Traders on Polymarket are betting on Harris’s odds of beating ...

   www.aol.com/finance/traders-polymarket-betting...

   Polymarket did not respond to Fortune’s request for an interview. That isn’t to say prediction markets are always right. In 2016, PredictIt bettors notched Hillary Clinton at an 80% chance of ...

9. Polymarket predicted Trump's win. Now comes the hard part.

   www.aol.com/news/polymarket-predicted-trumps-win...

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