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A trend line could simply be drawn by eye through a set of data points, but more properly their position and slope is calculated using statistical techniques like linear regression. Trend lines typically are straight lines, although some variations use higher degree polynomials depending on the degree of curvature desired in the line.
All have the same trend, but more filtering leads to higher r 2 of fitted trend line. The least-squares fitting process produces a value, r-squared (r 2), which is 1 minus the ratio of the variance of the residuals to the variance of the dependent variable. It says what fraction of the variance of the data is explained by the fitted trend line.
The above equations are efficient to use if the mean of the x and y variables (¯ ¯) are known. If the means are not known at the time of calculation, it may be more efficient to use the expanded version of the α ^ and β ^ {\displaystyle {\widehat {\alpha }}{\text{ and }}{\widehat {\beta }}} equations.
In linear regression, the model specification is that the dependent variable, is a linear combination of the parameters (but need not be linear in the independent variables). For example, in simple linear regression for modeling n {\displaystyle n} data points there is one independent variable: x i {\displaystyle x_{i}} , and two parameters, β ...
Although polynomial regression fits a nonlinear model to the data, as a statistical estimation problem it is linear, in the sense that the regression function E(y | x) is linear in the unknown parameters that are estimated from the data. For this reason, polynomial regression is considered to be a special case of multiple linear regression. [1]
In statistics, ordinary least squares (OLS) is a type of linear least squares method for choosing the unknown parameters in a linear regression model (with fixed level-one [clarification needed] effects of a linear function of a set of explanatory variables) by the principle of least squares: minimizing the sum of the squares of the differences between the observed dependent variable (values ...
A description of linear interpolation can be found in the ancient Chinese mathematical text called The Nine Chapters on the Mathematical Art (九章算術), [1] dated from 200 BC to AD 100 and the Almagest (2nd century AD) by Ptolemy. The basic operation of linear interpolation between two values is commonly used in computer graphics.
In finance, a trend line is a bounding line for the price movement of a security. It is formed when a diagonal line can be drawn between a minimum of three or more price pivot points. It is formed when a diagonal line can be drawn between a minimum of three or more price pivot points.