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  2. Mill's methods - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mill's_Methods

    Symbolically, the method of concomitant variation can be represented as (with ± representing a shift): A B C occur together with x y z A± B C results in x± y z. ————————————————————— Therefore A and x are causally connected. Unlike the preceding four inductive methods, the method of concomitant ...

  3. Blissful ignorance effect - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blissful_ignorance_effect

    The Blissful Ignorance Effect (BIE) involves two key factors: the nature of the presented information (precise vs vague) and the time of occurrence of a decision (before vs after). Individuals tend to want precise information before making a decision and vague information after the decision has been made.

  4. Stein's example - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stein's_example

    Stein's example now tells us that we can get a better estimate (on average) for the vector of three parameters by simultaneously using the three unrelated measurements. At first sight it appears that somehow we get a better estimator for US wheat yield by measuring some other unrelated statistics such as the number of spectators at Wimbledon ...

  5. Spurious relationship - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spurious_relationship

    Graphical model: Whereas a mediator is a factor in the causal chain (top), a confounder is a spurious factor incorrectly implying causation (bottom). In statistics, a spurious relationship or spurious correlation [1] [2] is a mathematical relationship in which two or more events or variables are associated but not causally related, due to either coincidence or the presence of a certain third ...

  6. Observer-expectancy effect - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Observer-expectancy_effect

    The observer-expectancy effect [a] is a form of reactivity in which a researcher's cognitive bias causes them to subconsciously influence the participants of an experiment. Confirmation bias can lead to the experimenter interpreting results incorrectly because of the tendency to look for information that conforms to their hypothesis, and ...

  7. Dunning–Kruger effect - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning–Kruger_effect

    Some researchers include a metacognitive component in their definition. In this view, the Dunning–Kruger effect is the thesis that those who are incompetent in a given area tend to be ignorant of their incompetence, i.e., they lack the metacognitive ability to become aware of their incompetence.

  8. The Mandela effect: 10 examples that explain what it is and ...

    www.aol.com/lifestyle/mandela-effect-10-examples...

    Popular examples of the Mandela effect. Here are some Mandela effect examples that have confused me over the years — and many others too. Grab your friends and see which false memories you may ...

  9. Ellsberg paradox - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ellsberg_paradox

    In decision theory, the Ellsberg paradox (or Ellsberg's paradox) is a paradox in which people's decisions are inconsistent with subjective expected utility theory. John Maynard Keynes published a version of the paradox in 1921. [1]