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  2. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight

    538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [2] Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver Bulletin.

  3. Can Kamala Harris beat Donald Trump? Latest poll updates

    www.aol.com/kamala-harris-beat-donald-trump...

    The latest average of national polls, collated by FiveThirtyEight, shows Harris with a 2.6-point lead over Trump. ... New York Times analyst Nate Cohn suggests that this poll is not an outlier ...

  4. Nate Silver - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver

    The New York Times "FiveThirtyEight: Nate Silver's Political Calculus" commenced on August 25, 2010, with the publication of "New Forecast Shows Democrats Losing 6 to 7 Senate Seats". [51] From that date the blog focused almost exclusively on forecasting the outcomes of the 2010 U.S. Senate and U.S. House of Representatives elections as well as ...

  5. Top pollster finds Trump gaining momentum against Harris ...

    www.aol.com/top-pollster-finds-trump-gaining...

    The data analyst and founder of FiveThirtyEight revealed Wednesday that his presidential race model now indicates that Trump has a 58.2% chance at winning the Electoral College in November ...

  6. Nate Cohn - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Cohn

    Nathan David Cohn [1] (born August 16, 1988) is an American journalist and chief political analyst for "The Upshot" at The New York Times. His reporting focuses on elections , public opinion , and demographics in the United States .

  7. 2024 polls: Majority of voters say Trump should be disqualified

    www.aol.com/us-election-2024-polls-biden...

    The chief political analyst at The New York Times, Nate Cohn, wrote: ... according to polls. One poll from FiveThirtyEight shows Ms Haley polling at 3.4 per cent on 23 August. As of 6 September ...

  8. How pollsters are trying to get it right in the Trump-Harris race

    www.aol.com/pollsters-trying-trump-harris-race...

    New York Times chief political analyst Nate Cohn explained last weekend why the Times/Siena College poll doesn’t employ this method, including that voters may not remember or misremember how ...

  9. How 538's 2024 House election forecast works - AOL

    www.aol.com/538s-2024-house-election-forecast...

    On Tuesday, 538 released its 2024 election forecast for the House of Representatives. The general idea behind our forecast is to combine polling data (say, on which party Americans want to control ...