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It’s no secret that housing prices have been rising, and rising a lot, over the past few years. In fact, according to the Federal Reserve, the median price of a home in the third quarter of 2024 ...
Since 1978, the only two times home sales did not increase the year following an election were in 1981 and 1989. It probably doesn't take an expert to tell us that these are not regular times, though.
Based on the 2025 housing forecast from Realtor.com, home prices are expected to grow by 3.7% in 2025, while average mortgage rates will drop from 6.3% to 6.2% by the end of the year. With Donald...
Housing costs repeatedly broke records in 2024, and a report from the National Association of Realtors' (NAR) annual survey of buyers and sellers found the share of first-time homebuyers dropped ...
Experts do not expect a housing market crash, due to low inventory, strict lending standards and other factors. To the dismay of would-be homebuyers, property prices just keep rising.
Bubbles can be determined when an increase in housing prices is higher than the rise in rents. In the US, rent between 1984 and 2013 has risen steadily at about 3% per year, whereas between 1997 and 2002 housing prices rose 6% per year. Between 2011 and the third quarter of 2013, housing prices rose 5.83% and rent increased 2%. [19]
If one assumes that the housing market is efficient, the expected change in housing prices (relative to interest rates) can be computed mathematically. The calculation in the sidebox shows that a 1 percentage point change in interest rates would theoretically affect home prices by about 10% (given 2005 rates on fixed-rate mortgages).
While many analysts predict an increase in housing supply, mortgage lender Jaye Hohman of Hohman Finance also sees downward pressure on prices and rents from the demand side of the equation.