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In September 2020, CNN reported: "Since 1945, the S&P 500 has averaged an annual gain of 11.2% during years when Democrats controlled the White House, according to CFRA Research. That's well ahead of the 6.9% average gain under Republicans." [3] Analysis conducted by S&P Capital IQ in 2016 found similar results since 1901. [23]
A more limited 2024 analysis by T. Rowe Price produced similar overall results, calculating an average S&P 500 return of 11 percent for the 24 presidential election years taking place between 1928 ...
The four-year United States presidential election cycle is a theory that stock markets are weakest in the year following the election of a new U.S. president.It suggests that the presidential election has a predictable impact on America's economic policies and market sentiment irrespective of the specific policies of the President.
In fact, 16 Nobel Prize-winning economists penned a letter earlier this year warning that Trump's plans could cause a surge in inflation and lead to a less stable U.S. economy.
The chief divide between the two major parties on the economy going into the election cycle were the incumbent Democrats pointing out that the economy was strong and well on its way to recovering from the effects of worldwide inflation, [30] initially coining the term "Bidenomics", [31] but acknowledging that goods were still too expensive and ...
President-elect Donald Trump’s surprising and historic return to the White House in January 2025 will bring with him many questions as to how the mercurial former president’s second ...
Thus it is possible for the winner of the popular vote to end up losing the election, an outcome that has occurred on five occasions, most recently in the 2016 election. This is because presidential elections are indirect elections; the votes cast on Election Day are not cast directly for a candidate, but for members of the Electoral College ...
The years in which elections are held for U.S. state and local offices vary between each jurisdiction. The vast majority of races held during off-year elections are at the city and local level, but many other city and local governments may instead hold their elections during even-numbered years to coincide with either the presidential or ...