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The decline reversed by Thursday, with Polymarket showing Trump leading Harris 52% to 46%. The relatively new Polymarket isn't the only crowdsourced prediction site with markets on this year's ...
The majority of bets went for Trump, with $1.3 billion wagered on the former president and $827 million on Harris. Polymarket users have wagered $3.2 billion on the outcome of the election—and ...
The morning before Election Day, the betting site said Trump had a 58.6% chance of winning the presidency while Harris’ odds stood at 41.4%, according to the Polymarket site.
While the odds of a Trump win have shrunk on some prediction markets, Polymarket shows a 58% chance as of Monday of the former president winning the election over Harris.. In late October ...
With nearly $1 billion wagered on the outcome of the presidential election at Polymarket, Trump's odds of winning were listed as 61.3%, compared to 38.6% for Harris, at 8:52 a.m. ET on Thursday.
For instance, Polymarket priced in a 10% chance of Biden dropping out of the race, even before his infamous debate against Trump in late June. Polymarket—the world's largest prediction market ...
Silver, a Polymarket advisor, said the shift in Trump's favor was a "larger swing than is justified." [17] Polymarket competitor Predictit had since shown Trump with better odds of winning after previously favoring Kamala Harris. [18] The divergence continued into mid October 2024, showing Trump with 60% odds on October 18.
Meanwhile, Polymarket shows Trump has a 54% chance of winning the presidential election with Harris trailing behind at just a 45.3% chance. PredictIt’s markets are a little closer.