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The 2024 election was filled with new and unprecedented developments in the history of American electoral politics: A sitting President was pushed out of the race by his own party.
2024 United States presidential election betting odds: Trump pulls even (Oct. 2 update) ... Polymarket and Smarkets now have the race as a pick'em. Betfair gives Trump a 1% edge over Harris, 48% ...
Meanwhile, Polymarket shows Trump has a 54% chance of winning the presidential election with Harris trailing behind at just a 45.3% chance. PredictIt’s markets are a little closer.
Polymarket potentially keeping the market open until Inauguration Day could also suggest the election won’t be settled by steps taken by Congress in December and January to certify results ...
Founded in 2020 by Shayne Coplan, [3] Polymarket is a prediction market that allows users to gain/lose on the outcome of world events. [4] In January 2022, Polymarket was fined US$1.4 million by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), and received a cease and desist order for regulatory violations, including failure to register as a Swap Execution Facility.
This year, Polymarket has seen $1.75 billion worth of trading volume, according to data from The Block, with betting activity exploding on US election outcomes. In October alone, the betting ...
The betting site Polymarket has emerged as a hot topic in the 2024 presidential race. Trump's odds of winning are at 66% there based on bets. National polls generally show the race tied.
Prediction markets can be more accurate than polling when it comes to elections, a professor told Business Insider. There's over $606 million wagered on the 2024 election on Polymarket, favoring a ...