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That undershoot of 3 points follows polls in 2020 that underestimated Trump's national margin by 4 points and in 2016 that underestimated his performance by 2 points, according to 538's averages.
That includes ABC News, which, after publishing an RDD poll that found now-President Joe Biden ahead of Trump by 17 points in Wisconsin in 2020 (something the pollsters behind the survey rightly ...
At the one-month mark of Donald Trump’s second term as president, his approval rating in a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS tilts negative but still lands above the level he reached at any point ...
ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls 48.1% over Trump 46.7% — compared to last week Harris 48.2 ... What polls show today if Trump or Harris is winning the 2024 ...
USA TODAY political reporter Aysha Bagchi joined reporters from The New York Times, ... Some even thought the adjustments this time around could mean polls were now overestimating Trump support.
The following nationwide polls feature Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who is an independent candidate who suspended his campaign and endorsed Donald Trump. Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
The six-day poll, which closed on Tuesday, showed 44% of respondents approved of the job Trump is doing as president, down from 45% in a Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted January 24-26.
ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls by +1.4%, Harris 48.1% to Trump's 46.7%; Pennsylvania has Trump leading by +0.3%; Arizona has Trump leading by +1.9%; Georgia has ...