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Still, it would take very little for Trump to flip Georgia (he lost by just under 12,000 votes in 2020) and Arizona (the margin was just over 10,000 last time).
Trump won Texas in 2016 against former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton by about 9 points. While he lost the overall race, he won Texas against Joe Biden in 2020 by about 6 points .
UT poll shows Trump ahead of Harris in Texas According to a poll from the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin , Trump has a five-point lead over Harris, 51% to 46%.
The administration saw its biggest surge last year after the Trump-era Title 42 ended, with more than 1 million people rushing to the border to try to enter within the span of a few months.
The state of Texas had 38 electoral votes in the Electoral College. [4] Although it was considered a vulnerable state for Trump by some pollsters and experts and a potential upset victory for Biden due to its recent demographic trends, Texas was again won by Trump with 52.1% of the vote, roughly the same percentage he carried it with in 2016.
Analysts generally assume Trump’s plans for restricted immigration, tax cuts and sweeping tariffs would put more upward pressure on inflation and bond yields, than Harris’s center-left policies.
“Trump’s lead extended among men from 19 to 23 points this month, while women are consistent since last month in favoring Harris by six points.” The newest poll of 815 likely voters was ...
Trump narrowly lost Michigan in 2020, and narrowly won it in 2016. And what about Wisconsin? Trump has a lead of 0.3 percentage points in the RCP average. Biden led the state by 6.4 points in the ...