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This is a list of asteroids that have impacted Earth after discovery and orbit calculation that predicted the impact in advance. As of December 2024 [update] , all of the asteroids with predicted impacts were under 5 m (16 ft) in size that were discovered just hours before impact, and burned up in the atmosphere as meteors .
Slowest asteroids passing within 1 LD of Earth (these asteroids have Earth-like orbits) Date of closest approach Object Earth distance Sun distance Velocity wrt Earth (km/s) Velocity wrt Sun (km/s) Approx. size (abs. mag.) Notes References 2007-03-25: 2006 RH 120: 0.92: 0.997: 1.37: 31.1: 3.3–7.5: 29.5: temporary satellite perigee: JPL ...
For asteroids that are on track to hit Earth, the predicted probability of impact never stops increasing as more observations are made. This initially very similar pattern makes it difficult to quickly differentiate between asteroids which will be millions of kilometres from Earth and those which will hit it.
An asteroid nearly the size of a football field now has roughly a 0.28% chance of hitting Earth in about eight years, NASA says — though at one point earlier its estimate reached as high as 3.1% ...
The yellow dots show the position uncertainty of asteroid 2024 YR4 when it encounters Earth in 2032, based on observations up to January 31, 2025.
They found shifts about 100,000 years before the asteroids hit, but none around the time of the impacts or afterwards. A microscopic image shows the silica droplets that were found in a rock core ...
These features were caused by the collision of meteors (consisting of large fragments of asteroids) or comets (consisting of ice, dust particles and rocky fragments) with the Earth. For eroded or buried craters, the stated diameter typically refers to the best available estimate of the original rim diameter, and may not correspond to present ...
In April 2018, the B612 Foundation reported: "It's 100 percent certain we'll be hit [by a devastating asteroid], but we're not 100 percent certain when." [ 10 ] Also in 2018, physicist Stephen Hawking considered in his final book Brief Answers to the Big Questions that an asteroid collision was the biggest threat to the planet.