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[3] PERT and CPM are complementary tools, because "CPM employs one time estimation and one cost estimation for each activity; PERT may utilize three time estimates (optimistic, expected, and pessimistic) and no costs for each activity. Although these are distinct differences, the term PERT is applied increasingly to all critical path scheduling ...
The E and SD values are then used to convert the project time estimates to confidence intervals as follows: The 68% confidence interval for the true project work time is approximately E(project) ± SD(project) The 90% confidence interval for the true project work time is approximately E(project) ± 1.645 × SD(project)
[2] [3] The PERT distribution is widely used in risk analysis [4] to represent the uncertainty of the value of some quantity where one is relying on subjective estimates, because the three parameters defining the distribution are intuitive to the estimator. The PERT distribution is featured in most simulation software tools.
Additionally, each task has three time estimates: the optimistic time estimate (O), the most likely or normal time estimate (M), and the pessimistic time estimate (P). The expected time (T E) is estimated using the beta probability distribution for the time estimates, using the formula (O + 4M + P) ÷ 6.
Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT) Putnam model, also known as SLIM; PRICE Systems Founders of Commercial Parametric models that estimates the scope, cost, effort and schedule for software projects. SEER-SEM Parametric Estimation of Effort, Schedule, Cost, Risk. Minimum time and staffing concepts based on Brooks's law
In project management (e.g., for engineering), accurate estimates are the basis of sound project planning. Many processes have been developed to aid engineers in making accurate estimates, such as Analogy based estimation; Compartmentalization (i.e., breakdown of tasks) Cost estimate; Delphi method; Documenting estimation results; Educated ...
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ETC is the estimate to complete the remaining work of the project. ETC must be based on objective measures of the outstanding work remaining, typically based on the measures or estimates used to create the original planned value (PV) profile, including any adjustments to predict performance based on historical performance, actions being taken ...