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Hindsight bias may lead to overconfidence and malpractice in regards to physicians. Hindsight bias and overconfidence is often attributed to the number of years of experience the physician has. After a procedure, physicians may have a "knew it the whole time" attitude, when in reality they may not have known it.
The overconfidence effect is a well-established bias in which a person's subjective confidence in their judgments is reliably greater than the objective accuracy of those judgments, especially when confidence is relatively high. [1] [2] Overconfidence is one example of a miscalibration of subjective probabilities.
Illustration for John Milton's Paradise Lost by Gustave Doré (1866). The spiritual descent of Lucifer into Satan, one of the most famous examples of hubris.. Hubris (/ ˈ h juː b r ɪ s /; from Ancient Greek ὕβρις (húbris) 'pride, insolence, outrage'), or less frequently hybris (/ ˈ h aɪ b r ɪ s /), [1] describes a personality quality of extreme or excessive pride [2] or dangerous ...
The curse of knowledge, also called the curse of expertise [1] or expert's curse, is a cognitive bias that occurs when a person who has specialized knowledge assumes that others share in that knowledge. [2] For example, in a classroom setting, teachers may have difficulty if they cannot put themselves in the position of the student.
[1] Although the reality of most of these biases is confirmed by reproducible research, [ 2 ] [ 3 ] there are often controversies about how to classify these biases or how to explain them. [ 4 ] Several theoretical causes are known for some cognitive biases , which provides a classification of biases by their common generative mechanism (such ...
Before psychological research on confirmation bias, the phenomenon had been observed throughout history. Beginning with the Greek historian Thucydides ( c. 460 BC – c. 395 BC ), who wrote of misguided reason in The Peloponnesian War ; "... for it is a habit of mankind to entrust to careless hope what they long for, and to use sovereign reason ...
Victory disease occurs in military history when complacency or arrogance, brought on by a victory or a series of victories, makes an engagement end disastrously for a commander and his forces. [1] A commander may disdain the enemy, and believe his own invincibility, leading his troops to disaster.
Stranger Danger: Family Values, Childhood, and the American Carceral State is a 2020 history book by American historian Paul M. Renfro. The book investigates the development of the "interlocking myths of stranger danger" in the 1970s and 1980s and their effects on American law and culture, including their influence over family values and social attitudes toward LGBT people.