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The population of the More Developed regions is slated to remain mostly unchanged, at 1.2-1.3 billion for the remainder of the 21st century. All population growth comes from the Less Developed regions. [6] [7] The table below breaks out the UN's future population growth predictions by region [6] [7]
Thus, the figures after the 1960 column show the percentage annual growth for the 1955-60 period; the figures after the 1980 column calculate the same value for 1975–80; and so on. The formulas used for the annual growth rates are the standard ones, used both by the United Nations Statistics Division and by National Census Offices worldwide.
A population projection, in the field of demography, is an estimate of a future population. It is usually based on current population estimates derived from the most recent census plus a projection of possible changes based on assumptions of future births, deaths, and any migration into or out of the region being studied.
Population growth is the increase in the number of people in a population or dispersed group. The global population has grown from 1 billion in 1800 to 8.2 billion in 2025. [ 3 ] Actual global human population growth amounts to around 70 million annually, or 0.85% per year.
The table below shows annual population growth rate history and projections for various areas, countries, regions and sub-regions from various sources for various time periods. The right-most column shows a projection for the time period shown using the medium fertility variant. Preceding columns show actual history.
Graph of world population over the past 12,000 years . As a general rule, the confidence of estimates on historical world population decreases for the more distant past. Robust population data exist only for the last two or three centuries. Until the late 18th century, few governments had ever performed an accurate census.
Long-range predictions to 2055 range from a population decline to 3.2 billion in the 'low scenario', to 'high scenarios' of 24.8 billion. One scenario predicts a massive increase to 256 billion by 2050, assuming fertility remains at 1995 levels.
Estimates of world population by their nature are an aspect of modernity, possible only since the Age of Discovery.Early estimates for the population of the world [10] date to the 17th century: William Petty, in 1682, estimated the world population at 320 million (current estimates ranging close to twice this number); by the late 18th century, estimates ranged close to one billion (consistent ...