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Asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 2% chance of hitting Earth in 2032. Astronomers are tracking it to refine estimates of its size and orbit to see how much of a risk the space rock poses.
2024 YR 4 is an asteroid that is classified as an Apollo-type (Earth-crossing) near-Earth object, with an estimated diameter of 40 to 90 metres (130 to 300 ft).As of 23 February 2025, it has a rating of 0 on the Torino scale, with a 1-in-36,000 (0.0039%) chance of impacting Earth on 22 December 2032, [7] and a rating of −3.08 on the Palermo scale, corresponding to an impact hazard 0.8% of ...
An asteroid between 130 and 300 feet wide has a slight chance of hitting Earth in 2032 — but the precise odds have been a moving target since the space rock was first detected nearly two months ago.
Asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 1.3% chance of impacting Earth in 2032, NASA reports. Astronomers all over the world are watching the asteroid, trying to narrow down its future path.
The asteroid came closest to Earth on Christmas Day — passing within roughly 500,000 miles (800,000 kilometers) of Earth, about twice the distance of the moon. It was discovered two days later. Chodas said scientists are poring over sky surveys from 2016, when predictions show the asteroid also ventured close.
NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory says there is currently a 3.1% chance the asteroid will hit Earth on December 22, 2032, during a fleeting window of time in which the rock's orbit around the sun ...
An asteroid first spotted in December has a 1.2% chance of hitting Earth in 2032. Scientists are tracking the space rock to learn more about its size and trajectory.
According to the latest calculations from NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, there is a 0.28% chance of the asteroid striking Earth on Dec. 22, 2032. NASA said it expects the probability "to ...