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FiveThirtyEight is the 2008 Weblog Award Winner for "Best Political Coverage". [98] FiveThirtyEight earned a 2009 "Bloggie" as the "Best Weblog about Politics" in the 9th Annual Weblog Awards. [99] In April 2009, Silver was named "Blogger of the Year" in the 6th Annual Opinion Awards of The Week, for his work on FiveThirtyEight. [100]
Vice President Harris and former President Trump are locked in an incredibly close race going into the final full week of the campaign — at least if the opinion polls are right. Harris holds a ...
Although polls and poll averages vary and are constantly changing, ... FiveThirtyEight average: Harris +2.4. 270 to Win average: Harris +2.2. Real Clear Polling average: Harris +1.5.
You can check which is which by looking them up on 538's pollster ratings page. If a pollster has a 3.0 rating, you should take it pretty seriously; if it has a 0.5 rating, it's not very reliable.
Aggregate polls of declared candidates in the 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Dean Phillips Marianne Williamson Other/undecided [a] Margin 270 to Win [1] January 25 – February 14, 2024 February 18, 2024 74.2%: 5.6% 8.0% 12.2% Biden +66.2: FiveThirtyEight [2]
The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden , won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the ...
(Not to pick on Morning Consult, but FiveThirtyEight's report card for the 2022 cycle gives them a score of 8% in its correct-call column, although the tech firm takes issue with the evaluation ...
The latest average of national polls, collated by FiveThirtyEight, shows Harris with a 2.6-point lead over Trump. On average, ... A poll from Redfield & Wilton Strategies, of 2,500 US adults up to ...