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RealClearPolitics (RCP) is an American political news website and polling data aggregator.The site was formed in 2000 by former options trader John McIntyre and former advertising agency account executive Tom Bevan.
Polls in 2024: Low error, medium bias. Despite the early narrative swirling around in the media, 2024 was a pretty good year to be a pollster. According to 538's analysis of polls conducted in ...
The sheer number and the potential for defective or biased polling make poll watching a challenging and time-consuming endeavor. If only there were a place we could go and see all the polls and an ...
Real Clear Polling average: Trump +1.2. Pennsylvania (19 electoral votes) FiveThirtyEight average: Harris +0.5. 270 to Win average: Harris +0.1. Real Clear Polling average: Trump +0.5.
Real Clear Polling average: Trump +0.3. Wisconsin (10 electoral votes) FiveThirtyEight average: Harris +0.8. 270 to Win average: Harris +0.7. Real Clear Polling average: Harris +0.4.
After the conventions, Obama had a clear lead until he did poorly in the first debate. Romney took the lead, and the polls were tied in early and mid-October. The Democrats then regained their momentum but Obama became the first President to win re-election by a narrower margin in both the popular vote and in the Electoral College.
At the same time, they also make it clear that, in the campaign’s final days, Trump is leading where it counts, namely on the issues that determine whom voters support.
The Trafalgar Group is an opinion polling and survey company founded by Robert Cahaly and based in Atlanta, Georgia. It first publicly released polls in 2016. Trafalgar has been questioned for its methodology and for an apparent bias towards the Republican Party.