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Factors of risk perceptions. Risk perception is the subjective judgement that people make about the characteristics and severity of a risk. [1] [2] [3] Risk perceptions often differ from statistical assessments of risk since they are affected by a wide range of affective (emotions, feelings, moods, etc.), cognitive (gravity of events, media coverage, risk-mitigating measures, etc.), contextual ...
This behavioral effect was first established in a series of experiments by psychologist Gary L. Wells. [1] This study examined the difference between how mock jurors judged naked statistics (statistical evidence that is unrelated to the specific case) and other forms of evidence, and found that a simple probability-threshold model (i.e., that jurors decide guilt when the subjective probability ...
The overconfidence effect is a well-established bias in which a person's subjective confidence in their judgments is reliably greater than the objective accuracy of those judgments, especially when confidence is relatively high. [1] [2] Overconfidence is one example of a miscalibration of subjective probabilities.
In 2021, emergency department visits for suicide attempts among teen girls increased by 51%, as opposed to 4% for boys, compared to the same time period pre-pandemic in 2019, according to a CDC study.
Peak–end rule: A person's subjective perceptions during the most intense and final moments of an event are averaged together into a single judgment. [52] For example, a person might judge the difficulty of a workout by taking into consideration only the most demanding part of the workout (e.g., Tabata sprints) and what happens at the very end ...
Gerd Gigerenzer has criticized the framing of cognitive biases as errors in judgment, and favors interpreting them as arising from rational deviations from logical thought. [6] Explanations include information-processing rules (i.e., mental shortcuts), called heuristics, that the brain uses to produce decisions or judgments.
It is helpful to know of the backfire effect, both as it affects oneself, and as it impacts the judgement of others. In short it stipulates that when presented with facts that disprove a position — the response is to double down, defending the position more strongly. many caveats, with different studies showing... A good series of podcasts...
A record high number of girls in high school have experienced sexual violence in the past year. New data from the CDC says in 2021, 1 in 5 (18%) of girls in grades nine through 12 grade ...