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Suppose further that the walk stops if it reaches 0 or m ≥ a; the time at which this first occurs is a stopping time. If it is known that the expected time at which the walk ends is finite (say, from Markov chain theory), the optional stopping theorem predicts that the expected stop position is equal to the initial position a.
Example of a stopping time: a hitting time of Brownian motion.The process starts at 0 and is stopped as soon as it hits 1. In probability theory, in particular in the study of stochastic processes, a stopping time (also Markov time, Markov moment, optional stopping time or optional time [1]) is a specific type of “random time”: a random variable whose value is interpreted as the time at ...
Originally, martingale referred to a class of betting strategies that was popular in 18th-century France. [1] [2] The simplest of these strategies was designed for a game in which the gambler wins their stake if a coin comes up heads and loses it if the coin comes up tails. The strategy had the gambler double their bet after every loss so that ...
The class of semimartingales is closed under optional stopping, localization, change of time and absolutely continuous change of probability measure (see Girsanov's Theorem). If X is an R m valued semimartingale and f is a twice continuously differentiable function from R m to R n, then f(X) is a semimartingale. This is a consequence of Itō's ...
Let T be some stopping time for R. Then the loop-erased random walk until time T is LE(R([1,T])). In other words, take R from its beginning until T — that's a (random) path — erase all the loops in chronological order as above — you get a random simple path. The stopping time T may be fixed, i.e. one may perform n steps and
In mathematics, a local martingale is a type of stochastic process, satisfying the localized version of the martingale property. Every martingale is a local martingale; every bounded local martingale is a martingale; in particular, every local martingale that is bounded from below is a supermartingale, and every local martingale that is bounded from above is a submartingale; however, a local ...
The earliest stopping time for reaching crossing point a, := {: =}, is an almost surely bounded stopping time. Then we can apply the strong Markov property to deduce that a relative path subsequent to τ a {\displaystyle \tau _{a}} , given by X t := W ( t + τ a ) − a {\displaystyle X_{t}:=W(t+\tau _{a})-a} , is also simple Brownian motion ...
In probability theory and statistics, a continuous-time stochastic process, or a continuous-space-time stochastic process is a stochastic process for which the index variable takes a continuous set of values, as contrasted with a discrete-time process for which the index variable takes only distinct values.