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Suppose further that the walk stops if it reaches 0 or m ≥ a; the time at which this first occurs is a stopping time. If it is known that the expected time at which the walk ends is finite (say, from Markov chain theory), the optional stopping theorem predicts that the expected stop position is equal to the initial position a.
12 Notes. 13 References. ... Download as PDF; Printable version; ... For convenience (see the proof below using the optional stopping theorem) ...
Optimal stopping problems can be found in areas of statistics, economics, and mathematical finance (related to the pricing of American options). A key example of an optimal stopping problem is the secretary problem .
Example of a stopping time: a hitting time of Brownian motion.The process starts at 0 and is stopped as soon as it hits 1. In probability theory, in particular in the study of stochastic processes, a stopping time (also Markov time, Markov moment, optional stopping time or optional time [1]) is a specific type of “random time”: a random variable whose value is interpreted as the time at ...
The concept of a stopped martingale leads to a series of important theorems, including, for example, the optional stopping theorem which states that, under certain conditions, the expected value of a martingale at a stopping time is equal to its initial value.
6 Notes. 7 External links. ... Download as PDF; Printable version; In other projects ... Optional stopping theorem; Notes External links ...
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The law of iterated logarithms operates "in between" the law of large numbers and the central limit theorem.There are two versions of the law of large numbers — the weak and the strong — and they both state that the sums S n, scaled by n −1, converge to zero, respectively in probability and almost surely: