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The polls were wrong, again. Nate Silver ran 80,000 simulations of election outcomes and found that Vice President Kamala Harris won in 40,012 of them. The race that Donald Trump ultimately ran ...
The majority of bets went for Trump, with $1.3 billion wagered on the former president and $827 million on Harris. Polymarket users have wagered $3.2 billion on the outcome of the election—and ...
The former president defeated Vice President Kamala Harris to become the 47th president – catapulting Théo and his massive gains to the top of Polymarket’s all-time winnings board.
While the odds of a Trump win have shrunk on some prediction markets, Polymarket shows a 58% chance as of Monday of the former president winning the election over Harris.. In late October ...
Opinion polls have indicated a statistical dead heat between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. On Polymarket, however, Trump's chances have soared in recent weeks to ...
The betting site Polymarket has emerged as a hot topic in the 2024 presidential race. Trump's odds of winning are at 66% there based on bets. National polls generally show the race tied.
Her odds of becoming the next president have jumped from 18% to 29% on Polymarket, and up from 27% to 40% on PredictIt. FiveThirtyEight’s approval poll show a 50% disapproval rating for the vice ...
In the weeks leading up to the 2024 presidential election, what appeared to be a small group of traders dumped millions of dollars into Polymarket, betting that Donald Trump would win.