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Vote Compass is an interactive, online voting advice application developed by political scientists and run during election campaigns. It surveys users about their political views and, based on their responses, calculates the individual alignment of each user with the parties or candidates running in a given election contest.
An opinion poll, often simply referred to as a survey or a poll (although strictly a poll is an actual election), is a human research survey of public opinion from a particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions of a population by conducting a series of questions and then extrapolating generalities in ratio or ...
Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections. [ 1 ] [ 2 ] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. [ 3 ]
A new poll of 538 registered voters in Montana shows Republican candidate Tim Sheehy leading incumbent Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.) by 6 points, 50.8 percent to 44.7 percent. The poll, commissioned ...
Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...
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The most recent poll is the first from the group to show Sheehy with any lead in the race against Tester. The Bozeman businessman now leads Tester 48% to 46%, with just 5% of voters undecided, but ...
The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee. Biden would win the national popular vote by 4.4 ...