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  2. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight

    FiveThirtyEight is the 2008 Weblog Award Winner for "Best Political Coverage". [98] FiveThirtyEight earned a 2009 "Bloggie" as the "Best Weblog about Politics" in the 9th Annual Weblog Awards. [99] In April 2009, Silver was named "Blogger of the Year" in the 6th Annual Opinion Awards of The Week, for his work on FiveThirtyEight. [100]

  3. Polling for United States presidential elections - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polling_for_United_States...

    Chart of Democratic-candidate lead over Republican candidate in final poll and results by year, 1936 to 2016. Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections.

  4. Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling...

    The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden , won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the ...

  5. Forget polls, the stock market is the most accurate predictor ...

    www.aol.com/finance/forget-polls-stock-market...

    Election polls’ historical accuracy has been spotty at best. In a 2023 examination of hundreds of U.S. election polls dating back to 1998, FiveThirtyEight senior ... View this interactive chart ...

  6. How are Trump and Harris doing in Ohio and other key states ...

    www.aol.com/trump-harris-doing-ohio-other...

    As of Oct. 11, Ohio's FiveThirtyEight polling average shows Trump leading by over 7 points. Trump sits at 51.3%, while Harris closely trails behind at 43.6%. Polling averages in battleground states.

  7. How to Read Political Polls Like a Pro

    www.aol.com/read-political-polls-pro-201406986.html

    (Not to pick on Morning Consult, but FiveThirtyEight's report card for the 2022 cycle gives them a score of 8% in its correct-call column, although the tech firm takes issue with the evaluation ...

  8. Nationwide opinion polling for the 2020 United States ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling...

    The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee. Biden would win the national popular vote by 4.4 ...

  9. Opinion - Were the polls right? It’s complicated.

    www.aol.com/opinion-were-polls-complicated...

    Assessing the accuracy of polls is much more complicated than it looks.