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  2. Cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyclically_adjusted_price...

    The cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio, commonly known as CAPE, [1] Shiller P/E, or P/E 10 ratio, [2] is a stock valuation measure usually applied to the US S&P 500 equity market. It is defined as price divided by the average of ten years of earnings ( moving average ), adjusted for inflation. [ 3 ]

  3. 10 Stock Market Predictions for 2025 - AOL

    www.aol.com/10-stock-market-predictions-2025...

    S&P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio Chart. S&P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio data by YCharts. Since January 1871, there have only been six instances where the S&P 500's Shiller P/E has surpassed 30 during a bull ...

  4. Will the Stock Market Crash in 2025? - AOL

    www.aol.com/finance/stock-market-crash-2025...

    The S&P's Shiller P/E ratio has only hit 38 times in two other periods: during the dot-com bubble, and early in 2022, before the market pulled back. The ratio was sitting at 38.8 times at the ...

  5. Robert J. Shiller - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_J._Shiller

    Price-earnings ratios as a predictor of twenty-year returns based on the plot by Robert Shiller (Figure 10.1, [18] [19]). The horizontal axis shows the real price-earnings ratio of the S&P Composite Stock Price Index as computed in Irrational Exuberance (inflation adjusted price divided by the prior ten-year mean of inflation-adjusted earnings ...

  6. The S&P is heading below 3,000. Basic math (and a ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/finance/p-heading-below-3-000...

    Nobel Prize laureate and Yale professor Robert Shiller offers a metric called the Cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio, or CAPE, that removes those steep peaks and deep valleys, and smoothes ...

  7. Fed model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fed_model

    Robert Shiller's plot of the S&P 500 price–earnings ratio (P/E) versus long-term Treasury yields (1871–2012), from Irrational Exuberance. [1]The P/E ratio is the inverse of the E/P ratio, and from 1921 to 1928 and 1987 to 2000, supports the Fed model (i.e. P/E ratio moves inversely to the treasury yield), however, for all other periods, the relationship of the Fed model fails; [2] [3] even ...

  8. President-Elect Donald Trump Is About to Make Dubious Stock ...

    www.aol.com/president-elect-donald-trump-dubious...

    S&P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio Chart. S&P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio data by YCharts. As of the closing bell on Nov. 25, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E reached 38.20, which is or more less a high reading for ...

  9. Efficient-market hypothesis - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Efficient-market_hypothesis

    Price-Earnings ratios as a predictor of twenty-year returns based upon the plot by Robert Shiller (Figure 10.1, [23] source). The horizontal axis shows the real price-earnings ratio of the S&P Composite Stock Price Index as computed in Irrational Exuberance (inflation adjusted price divided by the prior ten-year mean of inflation-adjusted ...