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  2. Survey: Employers to create half as many jobs by March 2025 ...

    www.aol.com/finance/survey-employers-create-half...

    Experts are penciling in a 4.2 percent unemployment rate by the end of March 2025, up from its current 3.9 percent level, according to the average forecast. ... A 4.2 percent unemployment rate ...

  3. Bankrate’s Q2 Economic Indicator Survey: What ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/finance/bankrate-q2-economic...

    By June 2025, the unemployment rate is expected to hit 4.3 percent, and employers are expected to create 115,000 jobs each month, on average, over the next 12 months, down from the previous 12 ...

  4. Fed 'dot plot' shows central bank will cut interest rates 2 ...

    www.aol.com/finance/fed-dot-plot-shows-central...

    Officials see the unemployment rate ticking up slightly to 4.3% in 2025, lower than the previous forecast of 4.4%. Unemployment is expected to remain at that level through 2026 and 2027.

  5. Unemployment in the United States - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unemployment_in_the_United...

    A rough comparison of September 2014 (when the unemployment rate was 5.9%) versus October 2009 (when the unemployment rate peaked at 10.0%) helps illustrate the analytical challenge. The civilian population increased by roughly 10 million during that time, with the labor force increasing by about 2 million and those not in the labor force ...

  6. Sahm rule - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sahm_rule

    Sahm rule 1949-2024. In macroeconomics, the Sahm rule, or Sahm rule recession indicator, is a heuristic measure by the United States' Federal Reserve for determining when an economy has entered a recession. [1]

  7. Labor force in the United States - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Labor_force_in_the_United...

    As far as foreign-born immigrants that are trying to participate in the labor force but cannot find employment, the unemployment rates are as follows. The unemployment are foreign-born immigrant women workers (9.1 percent), native women workers (7.9 percent), Mexico and Central American foreign-born immigrant women workers (12.1 percent), and ...

  8. Congressional Budget Office projects lower inflation and ...

    www.aol.com/news/congressional-budget-office...

    The office's Current View of the Economy from 2023 to 2025 report estimates that the unemployment rate will hit 4.4% in the fourth quarter of 2024 and remain close to that level through 2025 ...

  9. Beveridge curve - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beveridge_curve

    Beveridge curve of vacancy rate and unemployment rate data from the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics. A Beveridge curve, or UV curve, is a graphical representation of the relationship between unemployment and the job vacancy rate, the number of unfilled jobs expressed as a proportion of the labour force. It typically has vacancies on ...